Forensic Interpretation

Forensic Audio Analysis — Week 11

Today’s Topics

  • Overview of forensic interpretation
  • Scientific integrity and the NAS Report
  • Case study: Gunshot localization (TDOA)
  • Case study: Doppler effect and speed estimation
  • Case study: Distance estimation from sound level
  • Likelihood ratios in forensic audio

I. What Is Forensic Interpretation?

Three Pillars of Audio Forensics

  • Authentication — objective measurement
  • Enhancement — partly subjective processing
  • Interpretation — objective + subjective judgment

The Interpretation Challenge

  • Strives for objectivity
  • Relies on examiner experience
  • Requires induction and contextual reasoning
  • Findings may influence legal outcomes

Discussion

  • Where is the line between objective measurement and subjective interpretation?
  • Can forensic audio ever be fully objective? Should it try to be?
  • How should an expert communicate uncertainty to a jury?

II. Scientific Integrity

Transparency and Reproducibility

  • Methods must be explainable
  • Results must be verifiable by others
  • No “black box” or proprietary claims

Ethical Concerns

  • Reject claims of “golden ears”
  • No secret analytical techniques
  • Lack of transparency undermines the field

The NAS Report (2009)

Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward

https://www.ojp.gov/pdffiles1/nij/grants/228091.pdf

NAS: Two Key Questions

  • Is the method scientifically valid and reliable?
  • How much depends on subjective judgment?

Discussion

  • Have you encountered “black box” claims in other forensic fields?
  • How does cognitive bias affect forensic analysis?
  • What safeguards could reduce bias in audio forensics?

III. Measurement Fundamentals

Four Measurement Domains

  • Time — when events occur
  • Frequency — pitch and spectral content
  • Amplitude — loudness and signal level
  • Spectrum — frequency distribution over time

Precision vs. Accuracy

  • Precision — repeatability and resolution
  • Accuracy — correctness relative to a standard

Discussion

  • Why is it important to distinguish precision from accuracy in court testimony?
  • What happens if you report a precise measurement that isn’t accurate?
  • How would you explain measurement uncertainty to a non-technical jury?

IV. Case Study: Gunshot Localization

The Scenario

  • Two police cruisers record gunshots
  • Key questions:
    • Where did the shots originate?
    • Same or different firearm(s)?

TDOA: The Core Idea

  • Sound travels at a known speed
  • Different distances = different arrival times
  • Time difference → distance difference

Speed of Sound

$$c = 331.45\sqrt{1 + \frac{T}{273}}$$

  • c = speed of sound (m/s)
  • T = temperature in Celsius
  • ~343 m/s at 20°C

https://www.omnicalculator.com/physics/speed-of-sound

The Hyperbolic Locus

  • Two receivers → one TDOA measurement
  • Defines a hyperbola of possible locations
  • Source lies somewhere on that curve

Multilateration

  • Third receiver → second hyperbola
  • Intersection = source location
  • More receivers → more confidence

Sources of Uncertainty

  • Unsynchronized recordings
  • Vehicle position estimation errors
  • Speed of sound variability
  • Event alignment ambiguity

Gunshot Acoustic Components

  • Muzzle blast — spherical propagation
  • Ballistic shockwave — conical “N-wave”
  • Mach angle: $\theta = \arcsin\left(\frac{c}{v}\right)$

Discussion

  • Why is multilateration preferred over triangulation for gunshot localization?
  • What real-world factors would make TDOA unreliable in an urban setting?
  • How would you explain a hyperbolic locus to a jury?

V. Case Study: Doppler Effect

The Scenario

  • 911 call captures a truck horn before a crash
  • Can we determine the truck’s speed?

Doppler Effect

  • Approaching source → higher frequency
  • Receding source → lower frequency
  • Frequency shift reveals velocity

The Doppler Equation

$$f = f_0 \cdot \frac{c}{c - v}$$

  • f = observed frequency
  • f₀ = source frequency at rest
  • c = speed of sound
  • v = source velocity

Solving the Case

  • Horn at rest: 295 Hz
  • Observed in recording: 329 Hz
  • Temperature: 17°C → c = 341.5 m/s
  • Result: ~35.3 m/s ≈ 79 mph

Sources of Uncertainty

  • Frequency estimation accuracy
  • Sampling rate errors
  • Air temperature variation
  • Non-radial motion (angle of approach)

Discussion

  • How would a 2.4% sampling rate error affect a court case about speeding?
  • What other scenarios could Doppler analysis help investigate?
  • Why must the approach angle be considered?

VI. Case Study: Distance Estimation

The Scenario

  • Dispute over distance of a shouted threat
  • Competing claims: 1 meter vs. 8+ meters
  • Recording exists from a consumer device

Spherical Spreading Law

  • Sound intensity follows inverse square law
  • ~6 dB loss per doubling of distance
  • 1 m to 8 m ≈ 18 dB difference

Complicating Factors

  • Unknown vocal intensity
  • Microphone characteristics
  • Automatic Gain Control (AGC)
  • Reflections and reverberation
  • Controlled reconstruction experiment
  • Same device, same location
  • Documented procedure (video)
  • Compare reconstruction to original

Discussion

  • Why can’t we simply measure the recorded volume to determine distance?
  • When might a reconstruction experiment not be feasible?
  • How should an expert present inconclusive distance findings?

VII. Likelihood Ratios

The Concept

$$LR = \frac{P(\text{evidence} \mid H_p)}{P(\text{evidence} \mid H_d)}$$

  • H_p = prosecution hypothesis
  • H_d = defense hypothesis

DNA as the Benchmark

  • Highly discriminative patterns
  • Quantifiable probabilities
  • LRs in the quadrillions

Application to Audio

  • Possible but difficult
  • Speech signals are inherently variable
  • Dependent on recording conditions
  • Limited statistical models

Challenges

  • Estimating probability of a match
  • Building relevant population databases
  • Variability in recording conditions
  • Limited adoption in practice

Discussion

  • Why are likelihood ratios preferable to “match/no match” conclusions?
  • What makes audio LRs harder than DNA LRs?
  • How might an expert explain a likelihood ratio to a jury?

Key Takeaways

  • Interpretation = objective measurement + subjective reasoning
  • Transparency and reproducibility are non-negotiable
  • Uncertainty must be explicitly identified and reported
  • Contextual integration with other evidence is essential

Summary

  • Forensic interpretation combines physics with judgment
  • TDOA, Doppler, and spreading laws are key tools
  • Every measurement carries uncertainty
  • Likelihood ratios are the future of evidence evaluation